Risk Suite
Run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations on your trading strategy. Model any prop firm challenge before you spend a dollar.
© MARKET HACKERS™ · FOR EDUCATIONAL USE ONLY
v4.0.0
Select a simulator
What are you trading today?
📊
Monte Carlo — Main
Run 10,000 random scenarios on your personal account. Visualise equity curves, blowup risk, and optimal sizing.
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🏦
Monte Carlo — Prop Firms
Simulate funded account challenges. Model drawdown limits, consistency rules, and profit targets unique to prop firms.
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© MARKET HACKERS™ · FOR EDUCATIONAL USE ONLY · NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
MARKET HACKERS TM RISK SIMULATOR
Run 10,000 random scenarios · see what could happen to your account
BRIGHTNESS 🌑
☀️
Your risk
Starting balance
Your total account size at the start of each simulation run. Every trade sizes off this number — a bigger account with the same risk % means larger dollar losses per trade.
Balance $10,000
$1k$500k
Risk per trade
The % of your account you risk on each trade. At 2% on a $10k account you risk $200 per trade. The golden rule: never exceed 2% per trade.
Risk amount 3%
0%10%
2% per trade is the standard guideline
Number of trades
How many trades the simulator runs per scenario. More trades = more variance smoothed out. 100 trades ≈ 2-3 months of active trading for most traders.
Trade count 100
201000
Your strategy
Win rate
How often your trades close in profit. If you take 10 trades and win 6, your win rate is 60%. Most profitable traders sit between 40–60%.
Your win rate 42%
20% rare90% frequent
Reward : Risk
How big your wins are compared to your losses. A 2:1 R:R means you make $200 when you win and lose $100 when you lose. Higher R:R means you can win less often and still profit.
Mode
Target R:R 1.3×
0.1×20×
Every win closes at exactly this ratio — zero variance.
Your edge
—
Losing systemStrong edge
Breakeven win rate —
Scenario settings
Blowup threshold
The % loss that counts as your account being "blown." Prop firms use 10%. For personal accounts 20–30% is a common psychological stop. Below this level, losses compound quickly.
Max loss 20%
1%75%
Is your risk sizing safe?
⏳
Run a simulation first
Adjust the sliders above and hit Run.
What happened across 10,000 simulations
Worst 10%
—
ending balance
Typical result
—
median ending balance
Best 10%
—
ending balance
Chance of blowing up —
Chance of finishing at a loss —
Typical biggest dip (drawdown) —
Typical worst losing streak —
Worst-case losing streak (top 5%) —
Account balance over time — 100 random scenarios
Individual scenarios
Typical outcome (median)
10th–90th range
Starting balance
Finished below start
Finished above start
How often each ending balance occurred across all 10,000 simulations
Manageable (<20%)
Painful (20–40%)
Severe (>40%)
The largest dip each simulation experienced from its peak balance
Running total of accounts that blew up by each trade number

© MARKET HACKERS™ · FOR EDUCATIONAL USE ONLY · NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE

This tool does not account for spreads, commissions, slippage, or execution costs.
Results are simulated and past statistical patterns do not guarantee future performance.
Always verify your own win rate and R:R from a verified trade log before using this tool.

MARKET HACKERS TM PROP FIRM SIMULATOR
Run 10,000 challenge simulations · see your real pass rate
⚡ Load a firm preset
Rules verified July 2026 · Always confirm current rules before purchasing
✓ Preset loaded — hit Run to simulate
Account$10,000
Target$1,000 (10%)
Max loss$1,000 (10%)
Ratio1.0×
DD typeStatic
1 Account $10,000 · 2% risk
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Account size
The starting balance of the prop firm challenge account. This determines the dollar value of your profit target and max drawdown limit.
Balance$10,000
Risk per trade
The % of your account you risk on each trade. At 2% on a $10k account you risk $200 per trade. The golden rule: never exceed 2% per trade.
Risk amount2%
2% per trade is the standard guideline
Time to complete
Whether the challenge has a trade limit. Unlimited means you keep going until you pass or breach the drawdown. Limited means you must hit the target within X trades.
Mode
Trade count50
Haven't hit the target within this many trades? That counts as a fail.
2 Your strategy 40% WR · 1.2× R:R
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Win rate
Your win rate40%
Reward : Risk
Mode
Target R:R1.2×
Every win closes at exactly this ratio — zero variance.
Your edge
—
Losing systemStrong edge
Breakeven win rate —
3 Challenge rules 10% target · 10% DD
▼
Profit target
The % gain you need to hit to pass the challenge. On a $100k account at 10% you need to make $10,000 before you can get funded.
Target10.0%
Max drawdown
The maximum % your account can drop before you fail the challenge. Most firms use 10% static or EOD trailing. One bad day can end your challenge.
Drawdown limit10.0%
Drawdown type
Static: loss measured from starting balance, never moves.

EOD Trailing: simulates your live trading — after each day's trades the drawdown floor moves up to reflect your new balance.
Type
Max trades per day5
After this many trades the simulator resets the drawdown floor for the next day.
Equity curves — 50 random challenges
Individual runs
Median path
Passed
Failed
Profit target
Drawdown limit
🏦
Hit Run to see your real pass rate
The snapshot above updates live. Running the simulation adds equity curves and pass/fail odds across 10,000 attempts.

© MARKET HACKERS™ · FOR EDUCATIONAL USE ONLY · NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE

Results are simulated. Past statistical patterns do not guarantee future performance.